Wektu (GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | pentinge | Event | Forecast | Sadurunge |
01:30 | TCTerms 2 | Utangan Omah (MoM) (Jul) | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
07:00 | TCTerms 2 | Elderson ECB Ngomong | --- | --- | |
09:00 | TCTerms 2 | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
09:00 | TCTerms 2 | PDB (YoY) (Q2) | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
12:30 | TCTerms 2 | Penghasilan Saben Jam Rata-rata (YoY) (YoY) (Agustus) | 3.7% | 3.6% | |
12:30 | TCTerms 3 | Penghasilan Saben Jam Rata-rata (MoM) (Agustus) | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
12:30 | TCTerms 3 | Nonfarm Payrolls (Agustus) | 164K | 114K | |
12:30 | TCTerms 2 | Tingkat Partisipasi (Agustus) | --- | 62.7% | |
12:30 | TCTerms 2 | Gaji Swasta Nonfarm (Agustus) | 139K | 97K | |
12:30 | TCTerms 2 | Tingkat Pengangguran U6 (Agustus) | --- | 7.8% | |
12:30 | TCTerms 3 | Tingkat Pengangguran (Agustus) | 4.2% | 4.3% | |
12:45 | TCTerms 2 | Anggota FOMC Williams Ngomong | --- | --- | |
15:00 | TCTerms 2 | Fed Waller Ngomong | --- | --- | |
17:00 | TCTerms 2 | A.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | --- | 483 | |
17:00 | TCTerms 2 | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | --- | 583 | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif Minyak Mentah CFTC | --- | 226.7K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif CFTC Gold | --- | 294.4K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | CFTC Nasdaq 100 posisi net spekulatif | --- | 21.4K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif CFTC S&P 500 | --- | -81.9K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif CFTC AUD | --- | -19.2K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif CFTC JPY | --- | 25.9K | |
19:30 | TCTerms 2 | Posisi net spekulatif CFTC EUR | --- | 92.8K |
Ringkesan Prastawa Ekonomi sing bakal teka ing 6 September 2024
- Pinjaman Omah Australia (MoM) (Jul) (01:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing silihan omah anyar ditanggepi. Prakiraan: + 1.0%, Sadurunge: + 0.5%.
- ECB's Elderson Speaks (07:00 UTC): Komentar saka anggota Dewan Eksekutif ECB Frank Elderson, nawakake wawasan babagan kabijakan ECB lan stabilitas finansial.
- GDP Zona Euro (QoQ) (Q2) (09:00 UTC): Owah-owahan triwulanan ing produk domestik bruto Eurozone. Prakiraan: + 0.3%, Sadurunge: + 0.3%.
- PDB Zona Euro (YoY) (Q2) (09:00 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing GDP Zona Euro. Prakiraan: + 0.6%, Sadurunge: + 0.4%.
- Penghasilan Saben Jam Rata-rata AS (YoY) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing rata-rata penghasilan saben jam buruh. Prakiraan: + 3.7%, Sadurunge: + 3.6%.
- Penghasilan Saben Jam Rata-rata AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing pangentukan saben jam rata-rata. Prakiraan: + 0.3%, Sadurunge: + 0.2%.
- Upah Nonfarm AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Jumlah proyek anyar sing ditambahake, ora kalebu sektor tani. Prakiraan: +164K, Sadurunge: +114K.
- Tingkat Partisipasi AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Persentase populasi umur kerja sing dadi bagian saka tenaga kerja. Sadurunge: 62.7%.
- Payrolls Nonfarm Swasta AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Jumlah proyek swasta anyar ditambahake. Prakiraan: +139K, Sadurunge: +97K.
- Tingkat Pengangguran U6 AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Ukuran pengangguran sing luwih akeh, kalebu sing ana gandhengane karo tenaga kerja lan sing kerja part-time nanging golek kerja full-time. Sadurunge: 7.8%.
- Tingkat Pengangguran AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Persentase tenaga kerja sing nganggur. Prakiraan: 4.2%, Sadurunge: 4.3%.
- Anggota FOMC Williams Speaks (12:45 UTC): Komentar saka Presiden Fed New York John Williams, duweni potensi menehi wawasan babagan kabijakan moneter ing mangsa ngarep.
- Fed Waller Speaks (15:00 UTC): Komentar saka Gubernur Federal Reserve Christopher Waller, nyedhiyakake konteks luwih lanjut babagan sikap kebijakan Fed.
- Jumlah Rig Minyak Baker Hughes AS (17:00 UTC): Jumlah mingguan saka rig minyak aktif ing AS. Sadurunge: 483.
- US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count (17:00 UTC): Jumlah mingguan kabeh rig aktif, kalebu gas. Sadurunge: 583.
- Posisi Net Spekulatif CFTC (Minyak Mentah, Emas, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, AUD, JPY, EUR) (19:30 UTC): Data mingguan babagan posisi spekulatif ing macem-macem komoditas lan mata uang, nyedhiyakake wawasan babagan sentimen pasar.
Analisis Dampak Pasar
- Utangan Omah Australia: Mundhak ing silihan omah nuduhake panjaluk omah sing luwih kuat, ndhukung AUD. Angka sing luwih murah bisa menehi tandha permintaan sing lemah.
- GDP Zona Euro: GDP stabil utawa akeh ndhukung EUR, nuduhake stabilitas ekonomi. Wutah sing luwih murah bisa uga nyebabake mata uang lan nambah keprihatinan babagan pemulihan Eurozone.
- Data Ketenagakerjaan AS (Gaji Nonfarm, Tingkat Pengangguran, lan Penghasilan): Nggawe tenaga kerja sing kuat lan kenaikan upah ndhukung USD, menehi tandha kekuwatan ekonomi. Data sing luwih lemah tinimbang sing diarepake bisa nyebabake keprihatinan babagan potensial kalem, nyebabake pangarepan pasar kanggo kabijakan Fed ing mangsa ngarep.
- Pidato FOMC (Williams lan Waller): Komentar anggota Fed bakal diawasi kanthi rapet kanggo sinyal babagan kenaikan suku bunga ing mangsa ngarep utawa penyesuaian kebijakan, sing mengaruhi USD lan sentimen pasar.
- Baker Hughes Rig Jumlah: Jumlah rig lenga sing luwih murah bisa uga menehi sinyal suda pasokan, ndhukung rega minyak, dene jumlah sing luwih dhuwur bisa uga nuduhake tekanan pasokan.
- Posisi Net Spekulatif CFTC: Owah-owahan ing posisi spekulatif bisa menehi wawasan babagan sentimen pasar, kanthi owah-owahan gedhe sing bisa nuduhake volatilitas sing bakal teka ing pasar komoditas lan mata uang.
Dampak Sakabรจhรฉ
- Volatilitas: Dhuwur, utamane amarga data tenaga kerja AS lan pidato Fed, sing bisa nyebabake pasar mata uang, ekuitas, lan obligasi.
- Skor Dampak: 8/10, nuduhake potensial dhuwur kanggo gerakan pasar.