Analisis lan ramalan CryptocurrencyAcara ekonomi mbesuk 4 September 2024

Acara ekonomi mbesuk 4 September 2024

Wektu (GMT+0/UTC+0)StatepentingeEventForecastSadurunge
00:30๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตTCTerms 2au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Aug)54.053.7
01:30๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2GDP (QoQ) (Q2)0.2%0.1%
01:30๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2PDB (YoY) (Q2)1.0%1.1%
01:45๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณTCTerms 2PMI Layanan Caixin (Agustus)51.952.1
07:00๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2Elderson ECB Ngomong------
08:00๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Agustus)51.250.2
08:00๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2PMI Layanan Zona Euro HCOB (Agustus)53.351.9
12:30????????TCTerms 2Ekspor (Jul)---265.90B
12:30????????TCTerms 2Impor (Jul)---339.00B
12:30????????TCTerms 2Neraca Perdagangan (Jul)-78.80B-73.10B
14:00????????TCTerms 2Pesanan Pabrik (MoM) (Jul)4.6%-3.3%
14:00????????TCTerms 3Lowongan Kerja JOLTs (Jul)8.090M8.184M
18:00????????TCTerms 2Beige Book------
20:30????????TCTerms 2Simpenan Minyak Mentah Mingguan API----3.400M

Ringkesan Prastawa Ekonomi sing bakal teka ing 4 September 2024

  1. Japan au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Agustus) (00:30 UTC): Ngukur aktivitas ing sektor layanan Jepang. Prakiraan: 54.0, Sadurunge: 53.7.
  2. GDP Australia (QoQ) (Q2) (01:30 UTC): Owah-owahan triwulanan ing produk domestik bruto Australia. Prakiraan: + 0.2%, Sadurunge: + 0.1%.
  3. GDP Australia (YoY) (Q2) (01:30 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing GDP Australia. Prakiraan: + 1.0%, Sadurunge: + 1.1%.
  4. China Caixin Services PMI (Agustus) (01:45 UTC): Ngukur kegiatan ing sektor layanan China. Prakiraan: 51.9, Sadurunge: 52.1.
  5. ECB's Elderson Speaks (07:00 UTC): Komentar saka anggota Dewan Eksekutif ECB Frank Elderson, duweni potensi menehi wawasan babagan sikap kebijakan lan prospek ekonomi ECB.
  6. Eurozone HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Agustus) (08:00 UTC): Ngukur aktivitas bisnis sakabรจhรฉ ing Zona Euro. Prakiraan: 51.2, Sadurunge: 50.2.
  7. Eurozone HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Agustus) (08:00 UTC): Ngukur kegiatan ing sektor layanan Zona Euro. Prakiraan: 53.3, Sadurunge: 51.9.
  8. Ekspor AS (Jul) (12:30 UTC): Nilai total barang lan layanan sing diekspor dening AS. Sadurunge: $265.90B.
  9. Impor AS (Jul) (12:30 UTC): Nilai total barang lan layanan sing diimpor dening AS. Sadurunge: $339.00B.
  10. Neraca Perdagangan AS (Jul) (12:30 UTC): Bedane antarane ekspor lan impor. Prakiraan: - $ 78.80B, Sadurunge: - $ 73.10B.
  11. Pesanan Pabrik AS (MoM) (Jul) (14:00 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing total nilai pesenan tuku anyar sing diselehake karo manufaktur. Prakiraan: + 4.6%, Sadurunge: -3.3%.
  12. Lowongan US JOLTs (Jul) (14:00 UTC): Ngukur jumlah lowongan kerja ing AS. Prakiraan: 8.090M, Sadurunge: 8.184M.
  13. Buku Beige AS (18:00 UTC): Laporan saka Federal Reserve nyedhiyakake ringkesan kahanan ekonomi ing kabeh distrik.
  14. Simpenan Minyak Mentah Mingguan API (20:30 UTC): Owah-owahan mingguan ing persediaan minyak mentah AS. Sadurunge: -3.400M.

Analisis Dampak Pasar

  • PMI Layanan Jepang: Wacan ing ndhuwur 50 nuduhake ekspansi, nyaranake kekuatan ing sektor layanan lan ndhukung JPY.
  • GDP Australia: Tingkat pertumbuhan GDP sing positif ndhukung AUD, sing nuduhake ketahanan ekonomi. Wutah sing luwih murah tinimbang sing dikarepake bisa menehi tantangan ekonomi.
  • China Caixin Services PMI: A maca ndhuwur 50 sinyal expansion ing sektor layanan, ndhukung CNY. Wacan sing luwih murah bisa nyebabake keprihatinan babagan pertumbuhan sektor kasebut.
  • PMI Komposit lan Layanan Zona Euro: PMI sing luwih dhuwur nyaranake ngembangake kegiatan ekonomi, ndhukung EUR. Wacan sing luwih murah bisa nuduhake momentum ekonomi sing luwih alon.
  • Neraca Perdagangan AS: Defisit sing luwih gedhe nuduhake impor luwih akeh tinimbang ekspor, sing bisa nimbang USD. Defisit sing luwih cilik ndhukung USD.
  • Pesanan Pabrik AS: Peningkatan pesenan pabrik nuduhake permintaan sing luwih kuat kanggo barang-barang manufaktur, ndhukung USD lan menehi tandha pertumbuhan ekonomi.
  • Lowongan Kerja US JOLTs: Jumlah lowongan kerja sing dhuwur nuduhake pasar tenaga kerja sing kuwat, ndhukung USD. Penurunan bisa uga nuduhake permintaan tenaga kerja sing lemah.
  • Buku Beige AS: Nyedhiyakake wawasan babagan kahanan ekonomi, sing bisa mengaruhi pangarepan pasar kanggo kabijakan Fed ing mangsa ngarep.
  • Stok Minyak Mentah API: Persediaan sing luwih murah biasane ndhukung rega minyak sing luwih dhuwur, nuduhake permintaan sing kuwat utawa pasokan sing suda.

Dampak Sakabรจhรฉ

  • Volatilitas: Moderate nganti dhuwur, kanthi reaksi potensial ing pasar ekuitas, obligasi, mata uang, lan komoditas adhedhasar data kegiatan ekonomi, angka perdagangan, lan wawasan Fed.
  • Skor Dampak: 7/10, nuduhake potensial dhuwur kanggo gerakan pasar.

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