Analisis lan ramalan CryptocurrencyAcara ekonomi mbesuk 27 September 2024

Acara ekonomi mbesuk 27 September 2024

Wektu (GMT+0/UTC+0)StatepentingeEventForecastSadurunge
01:30๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2Tinjauan Stabilitas Keuangan RBA------
08:15๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2ECB's Lane Speaks------
12:30????????TCTerms 3Indeks Harga PCE Inti (MoM) (Agustus)0.2%0.2%
12:30????????TCTerms 3Indeks Harga PCE Inti (YoY) (Agustus)---2.6%
12:30????????TCTerms 2Neraca Perdagangan Barang (Agustus)-100.20B-102.66B
12:30????????TCTerms 2Indeks Harga PCE (YoY) (Agustus)---2.5%
12:30????????TCTerms 2Indeks harga PCE (MoM) (Agustus)---0.2%
12:30????????TCTerms 2Pengeluaran Pribadi (MoM) (Agustus)0.3%0.5%
12:30????????TCTerms 2Persediaan Eceran Ex Auto (Agustus)---0.5%
14:00????????TCTerms 2Ekspektasi Inflasi 1 Taun Michigan (Sep)2.7%2.8%
14:00????????TCTerms 2Ekspektasi Inflasi 5 Taun Michigan (Sep)3.1%3.0%
14:00????????TCTerms 2Pangarepan Konsumen Michigan (Sep)73.072.1
14:00????????TCTerms 2Sentimen Konsumen Michigan (Sep)69.467.9
14:30????????TCTerms 2Atlanta Fed GDPSaiki (Q3)2.9%2.9%
17:00????????TCTerms 2A.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count---488
17:00????????TCTerms 2US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count---588
17:15????????TCTerms 2Anggota FOMC Bowman Ngomong------
19:30????????TCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif Minyak Mentah CFTC---145.3K
19:30????????TCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif CFTC Gold---310.1K
19:30????????TCTerms 2CFTC Nasdaq 100 posisi net spekulatif---19.2K
19:30????????TCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif CFTC S&P 500----122.9K
19:30๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif CFTC AUD----40.1K
19:30๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตTCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif CFTC JPY---56.8K
19:30๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บTCTerms 2Posisi net spekulatif CFTC EUR---69.6K

Ringkesan Prastawa Ekonomi sing bakal teka ing 27 September 2024

  1. Tinjauan Stabilitas Keuangan RBA (01:30 UTC): Laporan semi-taunan Reserve Bank of Australia ngevaluasi risiko kanggo sistem finansial. Bisa mengaruhi AUD gumantung saka keprihatinan babagan ekonomi utawa sektor perbankan.
  2. ECB's Lane Speaks (08:15 UTC): Komentar saka Kepala Ekonom ECB Philip Lane, nyedhiyakake wawasan babagan prospek ekonomi Eurozone utawa tren inflasi.
  3. Indeks Harga PCE Inti AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Ukuran inflasi utama sing digunakake dening Federal Reserve. Prakiraan: + 0.2%, Sadurunge: + 0.2%.
  4. Indeks Harga PCE Inti AS (YoY) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan taun-over-taun ing inflasi inti. Sadurunge: + 2.6%.
  5. Neraca Perdagangan Barang AS (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Ngukur bedane antarane nilai barang sing diekspor lan diimpor. Prakiraan: - $ 100.20B, Sadurunge: - $ 102.66B.
  6. Indeks Rega PCE AS (YoY) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben taun ing indeks rega Pangeluaran Konsumsi Pribadi sakabรจhรฉ. Sadurunge: + 2.5%.
  7. Indeks Rega PCE AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing inflasi PCE. Sadurunge: + 0.2%.
  8. Pengeluaran Pribadi AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Ngukur owah-owahan saben wulan ing belanja konsumen. Prakiraan: + 0.3%, Sadurunge: + 0.5%.
  9. Persediaan Eceran AS Ex Auto (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing inventaris eceran ora kalebu sektor otomotif. Sadurunge: + 0.5%.
  10. Ekspektasi Inflasi 1 Taun Michigan AS (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Pangarepan inflasi konsumen kanggo taun ngarep. Prakiraan: 2.7%, Sadurunge: 2.8%.
  11. Ekspektasi Inflasi 5 Taun Michigan AS (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Pangarepan inflasi jangka panjang. Prakiraan: 3.1%, Sadurunge: 3.0%.
  12. Ekspektasi Konsumen Michigan AS (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Ngukur prospek konsumen babagan kahanan ekonomi ing mangsa ngarep. Prakiraan: 73.0, Sadurunge: 72.1.
  13. Sentimen Konsumen Michigan AS (Sep) (14:00 UTC): Indikator utama sentimen konsumen sakabรจhรฉ. Prakiraan: 69.4, Sadurunge: 67.9.
  14. GDP AS Atlanta FedSaiki (Q3) (14:30 UTC): Perkiraan wektu nyata wutah GDP AS kanggo Q3. Sadurunge: + 2.9%.
  15. Jumlah Rig Minyak Baker Hughes AS (17:00 UTC): Jumlah rig lenga aktif ing AS. Sadurunge: 488.
  16. US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count (17:00 UTC): Jumlah total rig aktif, kalebu lenga lan gas. Sadurunge: 588.
  17. Anggota FOMC Bowman Ngomong (17:15 UTC): Komentar saka Gubernur Federal Reserve Michelle Bowman, kemungkinan menehi wawasan babagan kebijakan moneter AS.
  18. Posisi Net Spekulatif CFTC (19:30 UTC): Data mingguan babagan posisi net spekulatif ing sawetara pasar, nuduhake sentimen pasar:
  • Minyak mentah: Sadurunge: 145.3K
  • Emas: Sadurunge: 310.1K
  • Nasdaq 100: Sadurunge: 19.2K
  • S&P 500: Sadurunge: -122.9K
  • AUD: Sadurunge: -40.1K
  • JPY: Sadurunge: 56.8K
  • EUR: Sadurunge: 69.6K

Analisis Dampak Pasar

  • Tinjauan Stabilitas Keuangan RBA: Sembarang keprihatinan babagan stabilitas finansial bisa nyebabake AUD, utamane yen laporan kasebut nyoroti risiko kanggo sektor perbankan utawa omah.
  • Indeks Harga PCE Inti AS & Pengeluaran Pribadi: Data inflasi kunci bisa mbentuk pangarepan kanggo tumindak Federal Reserve ing mangsa ngarep. Data inflasi utawa belanja sing luwih dhuwur tinimbang sing diarepake bisa nguatake USD amarga bisa menehi tandha luwih ketat dening Fed.
  • Sentimen Konsumen Michigan & Ekspektasi Inflasi: Angka kasebut nyedhiyakake wawasan babagan kapercayan konsumen AS lan prospek inflasi. Sentimen konsumen sing luwih lemah bisa nimbang USD, dene ekspektasi inflasi sing stabil bakal ndhukung kabijakan Fed saiki.
  • Posisi Net Spekulatif CFTC: Owah-owahan ing posisi spekulatif menehi pitunjuk babagan sentimen pasar. Contone, nambah posisi minyak mentah bisa menehi sinyal bullish ing pasar energi, dene owah-owahan ing posisi emas utawa ekuitas bisa nuduhake owah-owahan ing napsu resiko.

Dampak Sakabรจhรฉ

  • Volatilitas: Moderate, didorong dening inflasi utama AS lan data mbuwang bebarengan karo sentimen konsumen. Kajaba iku, pidato dening pejabat Federal Reserve bisa nambah obahe pasar.
  • Skor Dampak: 7/10, amarga data inflasi, sentimen konsumen, lan posisi pasar bakal diawasi kanthi rapet ing pirang-pirang kelas aset.

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