Acara ekonomi mbesuk 17 September 2024

Wektu (GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	pentinge	Event	Forecast	Sadurunge
04:30		TCTerms 2	Indeks Kegiatan Industri Tersier (MoM) (Jul)	0.8%	-1.3%
09:00		TCTerms 2	ECB McCaul Ngomong	---	---
09:00		TCTerms 2	Sentimen Ekonomi ZEW (Sep)	16.4	17.9
12:30		TCTerms 2	Penjualan Eceran Inti (MoM) (Agustus)	0.2%	0.4%
12:30		TCTerms 2	Kontrol Ritel (MoM) (Agustus)	---	0.3%
12:30		TCTerms 3	Penjualan Eceran (MoM) (Agustus)	-0.2%	1.0%
13:00		TCTerms 2	Elderson ECB Ngomong	---	---
13:15		TCTerms 2	Produksi Industri (YoY) (Aug)	---	-0.18%
13:15		TCTerms 2	Produksi Industri (MoM) (Aug)	0.1%	-0.6%
14:00		TCTerms 2	Persediaan Bisnis (MoM) (Jul)	0.4%	0.3%
14:00		TCTerms 2	Persediaan Eceran Ex Auto (Jul)	0.5%	0.5%
16:00		TCTerms 2	Atlanta Fed GDPSaiki (Q3)	2.5%	2.5%
17:00		TCTerms 2	20-Taun Lelang Bond	---	4.160%
20:30		TCTerms 2	Simpenan Minyak Mentah Mingguan API	---	-2.790M
21:00		TCTerms 2	Sentimen Konsumen Westpac (Q3)	---	82.2
22:45		TCTerms 2	Rekening Saiki (QoQ) (Q2)	-3.95B	-4.36B
22:45		TCTerms 2	Rekening Giro (YoY) (Q2)	---	-27.64B
23:50		TCTerms 2	Neraca Perdagangan sing diatur	-0.97T	-0.76T
23:50		TCTerms 2	Ekspor (YoY) (Agustus)	---	10.2%
23:50		TCTerms 2	Neraca Perdagangan (Agustus)	---	-628.7B

Ringkesan Prastawa Ekonomi sing bakal teka ing 17 September 2024

1. Indeks Kegiatan Industri Tersier Jepang (MoM) (Jul) (04:30 UTC): Ngukur owah-owahan saben wulan ing output ing industri layanan Jepang. Prakiraan: + 0.8%, Sadurunge: -1.3%.
2. ECB McCaul Ngomong (09:00 UTC): Komentar saka Anggota Dewan Pengawas ECB Ed Sibley McCaul, duweni potensi menehi wawasan babagan pengawasan finansial lan prospek ekonomi.
3. Sentimen Ekonomi ZEW Zona Euro (Sep) (09:00 UTC): Ngukur sentimen investor ing zona euro. Prakiraan: 16.4, Sadurunge: 17.9.
4. Penjualan Eceran Inti AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing penjualan eceran ora kalebu mobil. Prakiraan: + 0.2%, Sadurunge: + 0.4%.
5. Kontrol Ritel AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Data dodolan eceran digunakake kanggo ngetung GDP. Sadurunge: + 0.3%.
6. Penjualan Eceran AS (MoM) (Agustus) (12:30 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing penjualan eceran sakabèhé. Prakiraan: -0.2%, Sadurunge: + 1.0%.
7. ECB's Elderson Speaks (13:00 UTC): Komentar saka Anggota Dewan Eksekutif ECB Frank Elderson, nyedhiyakake wawasan potensial babagan kabijakan ECB.
8. Produksi Industri AS (YoY) (Agustus) (13:15 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing output industri AS. Sadurunge: -0.18%.
9. Produksi Industri AS (MoM) (Agustus) (13:15 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing output industri AS. Prakiraan: + 0.1%, Sadurunge: -0.6%.
10. Persediaan Bisnis AS (MoM) (Jul) (14:00 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing persediaan bisnis AS. Prakiraan: + 0.4%, Sadurunge: + 0.3%.
11. Persediaan Eceran AS Ex Auto (Jul) (14:00 UTC): Owah-owahan saben wulan ing inventaris eceran ora kalebu mobil. Sadurunge: + 0.5%.
12. GDP AS Atlanta FedSaiki (Q3) (16:00 UTC): Perkiraan wektu nyata pertumbuhan GDP AS kanggo kuartal katelu. Sadurunge: + 2.5%.
13. Lelang Obligasi 20 Taun AS (17:00 UTC): Lelang obligasi Treasury AS 20 taun. Ngasilake Sadurunge: 4.160%.
14. Stok Minyak Mentah Mingguan API AS (20:30 UTC): Owah-owahan mingguan ing persediaan minyak mentah AS. Sadurunge: -2.790M.
15. Sentimen Konsumen Westpac Selandia Baru (Q3) (21:00 UTC): Ngukur kapercayan konsumen ing Selandia Baru. Sadurunge: 82.2.
16. New Zealand Current Account (QoQ) (Q2) (22:45 UTC): Ngukur imbangan perdagangan barang, layanan, lan transfer. Prakiraan: -3.95B, Sadurunge: -4.36B.
17. New Zealand Current Account (YoY) (Q2) (22:45 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing saldo akun saiki Selandia Anyar. Sadurunge: -27.64B.
18. Neraca Perdagangan Jepang (23:50 UTC): Imbangan dagang diatur kanggo variasi mangsan. Prakiraan: -0.97T, Sadurunge: -0.76T.
19. Ekspor Jepang (YoY) (Agustus) (23:50 UTC): Owah-owahan taunan ing ekspor Jepang. Sadurunge: + 10.2%.
20. Neraca Perdagangan Jepang (Agustus) (23:50 UTC): Ngukur prabédan antarane ekspor lan impor. Sadurunge: -628.7B.

Analisis Dampak Pasar

• Data Kegiatan Industri & Perdagangan Tersier Jepang: Dandan ing kegiatan sektor layanan ndhukung JPY. Imbangan perdagangan sing lemah utawa wutah ekspor sing luwih murah bisa nyebabake JPY lan nggambarake permintaan global sing saya suwe.
• Pidato ECB (McCaul, Elderson): Wawasan saka pejabat ECB bisa mengaruhi EUR, utamane yen kabijakan moneter utawa masalah ekonomi ditangani.
• Sentimen Ekonomi ZEW Zona Euro: Sentimen sing luwih murah bisa nyuda EUR kanthi nggambarake keprihatinan investor babagan prospek ekonomi wilayah kasebut. Sentimen positif ndhukung EUR.
• Penjualan Eceran & Produksi Industri AS: Penjualan eceran sing luwih murah utawa produksi industri sing sithik bisa menehi tandha wutah ekonomi sing luwih alon, sing bisa nyebabake pasar USD lan ekuitas. Data positif bakal nuduhake ketahanan ekonomi lan ndhukung USD.
• Stok Minyak Mentah AS: Penurunan persediaan minyak umume ndhukung rega minyak sing luwih dhuwur, sing bisa mengaruhi pasar energi lan mata uang sing digandhengake karo komoditas kaya CAD lan AUD.
• Akun Anyar Selandia Anyar & Sentimen Konsumen: Defisit akun saiki sing saya tambah bisa nyuda NZD, dene sentimen konsumen sing luwih kuat bisa ndhukung mata uang kasebut.

Dampak Sakabèhé

• Volatilitas: Moderate nganti dhuwur, kanthi fokus khusus ing penjualan eceran AS, produksi industri, lan komentar ECB sing mengaruhi EUR lan USD.
• Skor Dampak: 7/10, nuduhake potensial dhuwur kanggo gerakan pasar.